Belief Accessibility
The study the effect of context questions prior to target
questions, researchers conducted a poll involving 1,054 subjects
selected randomly from the Chicago phone directory. To include
possibly unlisted phones, selected numbers were randomly altered in
the last position. This data frame contains the responses to one of
the questions asked concerning continuing U.S. aid to the Nicaraguan
Contra rebels. Eight different versions of the interview were given,
representing all possible combinations of three factors at each of two
levels. The experimental factors were Context
, Mode
and
Level
.
Context
refers to the type of context questions preceding the
question about Nicaraguan aid. Some subjects received a context
question about Vietnam, designed to elicit reticence about having the
U.S. become involved in another foreign war in a third–world country.
The other context question was about Cuba, designed to elicit
anti–communist sentiments.
Mode
refers to whether the target question immediately followed
the context question or whether there were other questions scattered
in between.
Level
refers to two versions of the context question. In the
"high"
level the question was worded to elicit a higher level of
agreement than in the "low"
level wording.
ex2115
A data frame with 8 observations on the following 5 variables.
Context
Factor referring to the context of the question preceding the target question about U.S. aid to the Nicaraguan Contra rebels
Mode
Factor with levels "not"
and
"scattered"
, "scattered"
is used if the target question
was not asked directly after the context question
Level
Factor with levels "low"
and
"high"
, refers to the wording of the question
M
Number of people interviewed
Percent
Percentage in favour of Contra aid
Increasingly, politicians look to public opinion surveys to shape their public stances. Does this represent the ultimate in democracy? Or are seemingly scientific polls being rigged by the manner of questioning? Psychologists believe that opinions—expressed as answers to questions—are usually generated at the time the question is asked. Answers are based on a quick sampling of relevant beliefs held by the subject, rather than a systematic canvas of all such beliefs. Furthermore, this sampling of beliefs tends to overrepresent whatever beliefs happen to be most accessible at the time the question is asked. This aspect of delivering opinions can be abused by the pollster. Here, for example, is one sequence of questions:
“Do you believe the Bill of Rights protects personal freedom?”
“Are you in favor of a ban on handguns?”
Here is another:
“Do you think something should be done to reduce violent crime?”
“Are you in favor of a ban on handguns?”
The proportion of yes answers to question 2 may be quite different depending on which question 1 is asked first.
Ramsey, F.L. and Schafer, D.W. (2002). The Statistical Sleuth: A Course in Methods of Data Analysis (2nd ed), Duxbury.
Tourangeau, R., Rasinski, K.A., Bradburn, N. and D'Andrade, R. (1989). Belief Accessibility and Context Effects in Attitude Measurement, Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 25: 401–421.
str(ex2115)
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