PPC errors
Various plots of predictive errors y - yrep
. See the
Details and Plot Descriptions sections, below.
ppc_error_hist(y, yrep, ..., binwidth = NULL, breaks = NULL, freq = TRUE) ppc_error_hist_grouped( y, yrep, group, ..., binwidth = NULL, breaks = NULL, freq = TRUE ) ppc_error_scatter(y, yrep, ..., size = 2.5, alpha = 0.8) ppc_error_scatter_avg(y, yrep, ..., size = 2.5, alpha = 0.8) ppc_error_scatter_avg_vs_x(y, yrep, x, ..., size = 2.5, alpha = 0.8) ppc_error_binned(y, yrep, ..., bins = NULL, size = 1, alpha = 0.25)
y |
A vector of observations. See Details. |
yrep |
An S by N matrix of draws from the posterior
predictive distribution, where S is the size of the posterior sample
(or subset of the posterior sample used to generate |
... |
Currently unused. |
binwidth |
Passed to |
breaks |
Passed to |
freq |
For histograms, |
group |
A grouping variable (a vector or factor) the same length as
|
size, alpha |
For scatterplots, arguments passed to
|
x |
A numeric vector the same length as |
bins |
For |
All of these functions (aside from the *_scatter_avg
functions)
compute and plot predictive errors for each row of the matrix yrep
, so
it is usually a good idea for yrep
to contain only a small number of
draws (rows). See Examples, below.
For binomial and Bernoulli data the ppc_error_binned()
function can be used
to generate binned error plots. Bernoulli data can be input as a vector of 0s
and 1s, whereas for binomial data y
and yrep
should contain "success"
proportions (not counts). See the Examples section, below.
A ggplot object that can be further customized using the ggplot2 package.
ppc_error_hist()
A separate histogram is plotted for the predictive errors computed from
y
and each dataset (row) in yrep
. For this plot yrep
should have only a small number of rows.
ppc_error_hist_grouped()
Like ppc_error_hist()
, except errors are computed within levels of a
grouping variable. The number of histograms is therefore equal to the
product of the number of rows in yrep
and the number of groups
(unique values of group
).
ppc_error_scatter()
A separate scatterplot is displayed for y
vs. the predictive errors
computed from y
and each dataset (row) in yrep
. For this
plot yrep
should have only a small number of rows.
ppc_error_scatter_avg()
A single scatterplot of y
vs. the average of the errors computed
from y
and each dataset (row) in yrep
. For each individual
data point y[n]
the average error is the average of the
errors for y[n]
computed over the the draws from the posterior
predictive distribution.
ppc_error_scatter_avg_vs_x()
Same as ppc_error_scatter_avg()
, except the average is plotted on the
y-axis and a a predictor variable x
is plotted on the
x-axis.
ppc_error_binned()
Intended for use with binomial data. A separate binned error plot (similar
to arm::binnedplot()
) is generated for each dataset (row) in yrep
. For
this plot y
and yrep
should contain proportions rather than counts,
and yrep
should have only a small number of rows.
Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A., and Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis. Chapman & Hall/CRC Press, London, third edition. (Ch. 6)
y <- example_y_data() yrep <- example_yrep_draws() ppc_error_hist(y, yrep[1:3, ]) # errors within groups group <- example_group_data() (p1 <- ppc_error_hist_grouped(y, yrep[1:3, ], group)) p1 + yaxis_text() # defaults to showing counts on y-axis table(group) # more obs in GroupB, can set freq=FALSE to show density on y-axis (p2 <- ppc_error_hist_grouped(y, yrep[1:3, ], group, freq = FALSE)) p2 + yaxis_text() # scatterplots ppc_error_scatter(y, yrep[10:14, ]) ppc_error_scatter_avg(y, yrep) x <- example_x_data() ppc_error_scatter_avg_vs_x(y, yrep, x) # ppc_error_binned with binomial model from rstanarm ## Not run: library(rstanarm) example("example_model", package = "rstanarm") formula(example_model) # get observed proportion of "successes" y <- example_model$y # matrix of "success" and "failure" counts trials <- rowSums(y) y_prop <- y[, 1] / trials # proportions # get predicted success proportions yrep <- posterior_predict(example_model) yrep_prop <- sweep(yrep, 2, trials, "/") ppc_error_binned(y_prop, yrep_prop[1:6, ]) ## End(Not run)
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