Sample size to achieve a desired surveillance system sensitivity to detect disease at a specified design prevalence assuming representative sampling, imperfect unit sensitivity and specificity
Calculates the sample size to achieve a desired surveillance system sensitivity to detect disease at a specified design prevalence assuming representative sampling, imperfect unit sensitivity and specificity .
rsu.sssep.rsfreecalc(N, pstar, mse.p, msp.p, se.u, sp.u, method = "hypergeometric", max.ss = 32000)
N |
scalar, integer representing the total number of subjects eligible to be sampled. |
pstar |
scalar, numeric, representing the design prevalence, the hypothetical outcome prevalence to be detected. See details, below. |
mse.p |
scalar, numeric (0 to 1) representing the desired population level sensitivity. See details, below. |
msp.p |
scalar, numeric (0 to 1) representing the desired population level specificity. See details, below. |
se.u |
scalar (0 to 1) representing the sensitivity of the diagnostic test at the surveillance unit level. |
sp.u |
scalar, numeric (0 to 1) representing the specificity of the diagnostic test at the surveillance unit level. |
method |
a character string indicating the calculation method to use. Options are |
max.ss |
scalar, integer defining the maximum upper limit for required sample size. |
Type I error is the probabilty of rejecting the null hypothesis when in reality it is true. In disease freedom studies this is the situation where you declare a population as disease negative when, in fact, it is actually disease positive. Type I error equals 1 - SeP
.
Type II error is the probabilty of accepting the null hypothesis when in reality it is false. In disease freedom studies this is the situation where you declare a population as disease positive when, in fact, it is actually disease negative. Type II error equals 1 - SpP
.
Argument pstar
can be expressed as either a proportion or integer. Where the input value for pstar
is between 0 and 1 the function interprets pstar
as a prevalence. Where the input value for pstar
is an integer greater than 1 the function interprets pstar
as the number of outcome-positive individuals in the population of individuals at risk. A value for design prevalence is then calculated as pstar / N
.
A list comprised of two data frames: summary
and details
. Data frame summary
lists:
n |
the minimum number of individuals to be sampled. |
N |
the total number of individuals eligible to be sampled. |
c |
the cut-point number of positives to achieve the specified surveillance system (population-level) sensitivity and specificity. |
pstar |
the design prevalence. |
p1 |
the probability that the population has the outcome of interest at the specified design prevalence. |
se.p |
the calculated population level sensitivity. |
sp.p |
the calculated population level specificity. |
Data frame details
lists:
n |
the minimum number of individuals to be sampled. |
se.p |
the calculated population level sensitivity. |
sp.p |
the calculated population level specificity. |
Cameron A, Baldock C (1998a). A new probability formula for surveys to substantiate freedom from disease. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 34: 1 - 17.
Cameron A, Baldock C (1998b). Two-stage sampling in surveys to substantiate freedom from disease. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 34: 19 - 30.
Cameron A (1999). Survey Toolbox for Livestock Diseases — A practical manual and software package for active surveillance of livestock diseases in developing countries. Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research, Canberra, Australia.
## EXAMPLE 1: ## A cross-sectional study is to be carried out to confirm the absence of ## brucellosis in dairy herds using a bulk milk tank test assuming a design ## prevalence of 0.05. Assume the total number of dairy herds in your study ## area is 5000 and the bulk milk tank test to be used has a diagnostic ## sensitivity of 0.95 and a specificity of 1.00. How many herds need to be ## sampled to be 95% certain that the prevalence of brucellosis in dairy herds ## is less than the design prevalence if less than a specified number of ## tests return a positive result? rsu.sssep.rsfreecalc(N = 5000, pstar = 0.05, mse.p = 0.95, msp.p = 0.95, se.u = 0.95, sp.u = 0.98, method = "hypergeometric", max.ss = 32000)$summary ## A system sensitivity of 95% is achieved with a total sample size of 194 ## herds, assuming a cut-point of 7 or more positive herds are required to ## return a positive survey result.
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