Expected length of stay
Given a "probtrans"
object, ELOS calculates the (restricted) expected
length of stay in each of the states of the multi-state model.
ELOS(pt, tau)
pt |
An object of class |
tau |
The horizon until which ELOS is calculated; if missing, the maximum of the observed transition times is taken |
The object pt
needs to be a "probtrans"
object, obtained with
forward prediction (the default, direction
="forward"
, in the
call to probtrans
). The restriction to tau
is there
because, as in ordinary survival analysis, the probability of being in a
state can be positive until infinity, resulting in infinite values. The
(restricted, until tau) expected length of stay in state h, given in state g
at time s, is given by the integral from s to tau of P_gh(s,t), see for
instance Beyersmann and Putter (2014).
A K x K matrix (with K number of states), with the (g,h)'th element
containing E_gh(s,tau). The starting time point s is inferred from pt
(the smallest time point, should be equal to the predt
value in the
call to probtrans
. The row- and column names of the matrix
have been named "from1" until "fromK" and "in1" until "inK", respectively.
Hein Putter H.Putter@lumc.nl
# transition matrix for illness-death model tmat <- trans.illdeath() # data in wide format, for transition 1 this is dataset E1 of # Therneau & Grambsch (2000) tg <- data.frame(illt=c(1,1,6,6,8,9),ills=c(1,0,1,1,0,1), dt=c(5,1,9,7,8,12),ds=c(1,1,1,1,1,1), x1=c(1,1,1,0,0,0),x2=c(6:1)) # data in long format using msprep tglong <- msprep(time=c(NA,"illt","dt"),status=c(NA,"ills","ds"), data=tg,keep=c("x1","x2"),trans=tmat) # events events(tglong) table(tglong$status,tglong$to,tglong$from) # expanded covariates tglong <- expand.covs(tglong,c("x1","x2")) # Cox model with different covariate cx <- coxph(Surv(Tstart,Tstop,status)~x1.1+x2.2+strata(trans), data=tglong,method="breslow") summary(cx) # new data, to check whether results are the same for transition 1 as # those in appendix E.1 of Therneau & Grambsch (2000) newdata <- data.frame(trans=1:3,x1.1=c(0,0,0),x2.2=c(0,1,0),strata=1:3) HvH <- msfit(cx,newdata,trans=tmat) # probtrans pt <- probtrans(HvH,predt=0) # ELOS until last observed time point ELOS(pt) # Restricted ELOS until tau=10 ELOS(pt, tau=10)
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