Taylor Diagram for model evaluation with conditioning
Function to draw Taylor Diagrams for model evaluation. The function allows conditioning by any categorical or numeric variables, which makes the function very flexible.
TaylorDiagram( mydata, obs = "obs", mod = "mod", group = NULL, type = "default", normalise = FALSE, cols = "brewer1", rms.col = "darkgoldenrod", cor.col = "black", arrow.lwd = 3, annotate = "centred\nRMS error", text.obs = "observed", key = TRUE, key.title = group, key.columns = 1, key.pos = "right", strip = TRUE, auto.text = TRUE, ... )
mydata |
A data frame minimally containing a column of observations and a column of predictions. |
obs |
A column of observations with which the predictions ( |
mod |
A column of model predictions. Note, |
group |
The
|
type |
It is also possible to choose Type can be up length two e.g. Note that often it will make sense to use |
normalise |
Should the data be normalised by dividing the
standard deviation of the observations? The statistics can be
normalised (and non-dimensionalised) by dividing both the RMS
difference and the standard deviation of the |
cols |
Colours to be used for plotting. Useful options for
categorical data are avilable from |
rms.col |
Colour for centred-RMS lines and text. |
cor.col |
Colour for correlation coefficient lines and text. |
arrow.lwd |
Width of arrow used when used for comparing two model outputs. |
annotate |
Annotation shown for RMS error. |
text.obs |
The plot annotation for observed values; default is "observed". |
key |
Should the key be shown? |
key.title |
Title for the key. |
key.columns |
Number of columns to be used in the key. With many
pollutants a single column can make to key too wide. The user can thus
choose to use several columns by setting |
key.pos |
Position of the key e.g. “top”,
“bottom”, “left” and “right”. See details in
|
strip |
Should a strip be shown? |
auto.text |
Either |
... |
Other graphical parameters are passed onto
|
The Taylor Diagram is a very useful model evaluation tool. The diagram provides a way of showing how three complementary model performance statistics vary simultaneously. These statistics are the correlation coefficient R, the standard deviation (sigma) and the (centred) root-mean-square error. These three statistics can be plotted on one (2D) graph because of the way they are related to one another which can be represented through the Law of Cosines.
The openair
version of the Taylor Diagram has several
enhancements that increase its flexibility. In particular, the
straightforward way of producing conditioning plots should prove
valuable under many circumstances (using the type
option). Many examples of Taylor Diagrams focus on
model-observation comparisons for several models using all the
available data. However, more insight can be gained into model
performance by partitioning the data in various ways e.g. by
season, daylight/nighttime, day of the week, by levels of a
numeric variable e.g. wind speed or by land-use type etc.
To consider several pollutants on one plot, a column identifying
the pollutant name can be used e.g. pollutant
. Then the
Taylor Diagram can be plotted as (assuming a data frame
thedata
):
TaylorDiagram(thedata, obs = "obs", mod = "mod", group = "model", type = "pollutant")
which will give the model performance by pollutant in each panel.
Note that it is important that each panel represents data with the
same mean observed data across different groups. Therefore
TaylorDiagram(mydata, group = "model", type = "season")
is
OK, whereas TaylorDiagram(mydata, group = "season", type =
"model")
is not because each panel (representing a model) will
have four different mean values — one for each
season. Generally, the option group
is either missing (one
model being evaluated) or represents a column giving the model
name. However, the data can be normalised using the
normalise
option. Normalisation is carried out on a per
group
/type
basis making it possible to compare data
on different scales e.g. TaylorDiagram(mydata, group =
"season", type = "model", normalise = TRUE)
. In this way it is
possible to compare different pollutants, sites etc. in the same
panel.
Also note that if multiple sites are present it makes sense to use
type = "site"
to ensure that each panel represents an
individual site with its own specific standard deviation etc. If
this is not the case then select a single site from the data first
e.g. subset(mydata, site == "Harwell")
.
As well as generating the plot itself, TaylorDiagram
also
returns an object of class “openair”. The object includes three main
components: call
, the command used to generate the plot;
data
, the data frame of summarised information used to make the
plot; and plot
, the plot itself. If retained, e.g. using
output <- TaylorDiagram(thedata, obs = "nox", mod = "mod")
, this
output can be used to recover the data, reproduce or rework the original
plot or undertake further analysis. For example, output$data
will
be a data frame consisting of the group, type, correlation coefficient
(R), the standard deviation of the observations and measurements.
An openair output can be manipulated using a number of generic operations,
including print
, plot
and summary
.
David Carslaw
Taylor, K.E.: Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. J. Geophys. Res., 106, 7183-7192, 2001 (also see PCMDI Report 55).
IPCC, 2001: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton, J.T., Y. Ding, D.J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P.J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C.A. Johnson (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 881 pp.
taylor.diagram
from the plotrix
package from which
some of the annotation code was used.
## in the examples below, most effort goes into making some artificial data ## the function itself can be run very simply ## Not run: ## dummy model data for 2003 dat <- selectByDate(mydata, year = 2003) dat <- data.frame(date = mydata$date, obs = mydata$nox, mod = mydata$nox) ## now make mod worse by adding bias and noise according to the month ## do this for 3 different models dat <- transform(dat, month = as.numeric(format(date, "%m"))) mod1 <- transform(dat, mod = mod + 10 * month + 10 * month * rnorm(nrow(dat)), model = "model 1") ## lag the results for mod1 to make the correlation coefficient worse ## without affecting the sd mod1 <- transform(mod1, mod = c(mod[5:length(mod)], mod[(length(mod) - 3) : length(mod)])) ## model 2 mod2 <- transform(dat, mod = mod + 7 * month + 7 * month * rnorm(nrow(dat)), model = "model 2") ## model 3 mod3 <- transform(dat, mod = mod + 3 * month + 3 * month * rnorm(nrow(dat)), model = "model 3") mod.dat <- rbind(mod1, mod2, mod3) ## basic Taylor plot TaylorDiagram(mod.dat, obs = "obs", mod = "mod", group = "model") ## Taylor plot by season TaylorDiagram(mod.dat, obs = "obs", mod = "mod", group = "model", type = "season") ## now show how to evaluate model improvement (or otherwise) mod1a <- transform(dat, mod = mod + 2 * month + 2 * month * rnorm(nrow(dat)), model = "model 1") mod2a <- transform(mod2, mod = mod * 1.3) mod3a <- transform(dat, mod = mod + 10 * month + 10 * month * rnorm(nrow(dat)), model = "model 3") mod.dat2 <- rbind(mod1a, mod2a, mod3a) mod.dat$mod2 <- mod.dat2$mod ## now we have a data frame with 3 models, 1 set of observations ## and TWO sets of model predictions (mod and mod2) ## do for all models TaylorDiagram(mod.dat, obs = "obs", mod = c("mod", "mod2"), group = "model") ## End(Not run) ## Not run: ## all models, by season TaylorDiagram(mod.dat, obs = "obs", mod = c("mod", "mod2"), group = "model", type = "season") ## consider two groups (model/month). In this case all months are shown by model ## but are only differentiated by model. TaylorDiagram(mod.dat, obs = "obs", mod = "mod", group = c("model", "month")) ## End(Not run)
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