Fitting Constrained Quadratic Ordination (CQO)
A constrained quadratic ordination (CQO; formerly called canonical Gaussian ordination or CGO) model is fitted using the quadratic reduced-rank vector generalized linear model (QRR-VGLM) framework.
cqo(formula, family = stop("argument 'family' needs to be assigned"), data = list(), weights = NULL, subset = NULL, na.action = na.fail, etastart = NULL, mustart = NULL, coefstart = NULL, control = qrrvglm.control(...), offset = NULL, method = "cqo.fit", model = FALSE, x.arg = TRUE, y.arg = TRUE, contrasts = NULL, constraints = NULL, extra = NULL, smart = TRUE, ...)
formula |
a symbolic description of the model to be fit. The RHS of the formula is applied to each linear predictor. Different variables in each linear predictor can be chosen by specifying constraint matrices. |
family |
a function of class |
data |
an optional data frame containing the variables in the model.
By default the variables are taken from |
weights |
an optional vector or matrix of (prior) weights to be used in the fitting process. Currently, this argument should not be used. |
subset |
an optional logical vector specifying a subset of observations to be used in the fitting process. |
na.action |
a function which indicates what should happen when the data contain
|
etastart |
starting values for the linear predictors. It is a M-column matrix. If M = 1 then it may be a vector. Currently, this argument probably should not be used. |
mustart |
starting values for the fitted values. It can be a vector or a matrix. Some family functions do not make use of this argument. Currently, this argument probably should not be used. |
coefstart |
starting values for the coefficient vector. Currently, this argument probably should not be used. |
control |
a list of parameters for controlling the fitting process.
See |
offset |
This argument must not be used. |
method |
the method to be used in fitting the model.
The default (and presently only) method |
model |
a logical value indicating whether the model frame
should be assigned in the |
x.arg, y.arg |
logical values indicating whether
the model matrix and response matrix used in the fitting
process should be assigned in the |
contrasts |
an optional list. See the |
constraints |
an optional list of constraint matrices.
The components of the list must be named with the term it corresponds
to (and it must match in character format).
Each constraint matrix must have M rows, and be of full-column
rank. By default, constraint matrices are the M by M
identity
matrix unless arguments in the family function itself override these values.
If |
extra |
an optional list with any extra information that might be needed by the family function. |
smart |
logical value indicating whether smart prediction
( |
... |
further arguments passed into |
QRR-VGLMs or constrained quadratic ordination (CQO) models
are estimated here by maximum likelihood estimation. Optimal linear
combinations of the environmental variables are computed, called
latent variables (these appear as latvar
for R=1
else latvar1
, latvar2
, etc. in the output). Here, R
is the rank or the number of ordination axes. Each species'
response is then a regression of these latent variables using quadratic
polynomials on a transformed scale (e.g., log for Poisson counts, logit
for presence/absence responses). The solution is obtained iteratively
in order to maximize the log-likelihood function, or equivalently,
minimize the deviance.
The central formula (for Poisson and binomial species data) is given by
eta = B_1^T x_1 + A nu + sum_{m=1}^M (nu^T D_m nu) e_m
where x_1 is a vector (usually just a 1 for an intercept),
x_2 is a vector of environmental variables, nu=C^T x_2 is a R-vector of latent variables, e_m is
a vector of 0s but with a 1 in the mth position.
The eta are a vector of linear/additive predictors,
e.g., the mth element is eta_m =
log(E[Y_m]) for the mth species. The matrices B_1,
A, C and D_m are estimated from the data, i.e.,
contain the regression coefficients. The tolerance matrices
satisfy T_s = -(0.5 D_s^(-1).
Many important CQO details are directly related to arguments
in qrrvglm.control
, e.g., the argument noRRR
specifies which variables comprise x_1.
Theoretically, the four most popular VGAM family functions
to be used with cqo
correspond to the Poisson, binomial,
normal, and negative binomial distributions. The latter is a
2-parameter model. All of these are implemented, as well as the
2-parameter gamma.
For initial values, the function .Init.Poisson.QO
should
work reasonably well if the data is Poisson with species having equal
tolerances. It can be quite good on binary data too. Otherwise the
Cinit
argument in qrrvglm.control
can be used.
It is possible to relax the quadratic form to an additive model. The
result is a data-driven approach rather than a model-driven approach,
so that CQO is extended to constrained additive ordination
(CAO) when R=1. See cao
for more details.
In this documentation, M is the number of linear predictors, S is the number of responses (species). Then M=S for Poisson and binomial species data, and M=2S for negative binomial and gamma distributed species data.
Incidentally,
Unconstrained quadratic ordination (UQO)
may be performed by, e.g., fitting a Goodman's RC association model;
see uqo
and the Yee and Hadi (2014) referenced there.
For UQO, the response is the usual site-by-species matrix and
there are no environmental variables;
the site scores are free parameters.
UQO can be performed under the assumption that all species
have the same tolerance matrices.
An object of class "qrrvglm"
.
Local solutions are not uncommon when fitting CQO models. To increase
the chances of obtaining the global solution, increase the value
of the argument Bestof
in qrrvglm.control
.
For reproducibility of the results, it pays to set a different
random number seed before calling cqo
(the function
set.seed
does this). The function cqo
chooses initial values for C using .Init.Poisson.QO()
if Use.Init.Poisson.QO = TRUE
, else random numbers.
Unless I.tolerances = TRUE
or eq.tolerances = FALSE
,
CQO is computationally expensive with memory and time.
It pays to keep the rank down to 1
or 2. If eq.tolerances = TRUE
and I.tolerances = FALSE
then
the cost grows quickly with the number of species and sites (in terms of
memory requirements and time). The data needs to conform quite closely
to the statistical model, and the environmental range of the data should
be wide in order for the quadratics to fit the data well (bell-shaped
response surfaces). If not, RR-VGLMs will be more appropriate because
the response is linear on the transformed scale (e.g., log or logit)
and the ordination is called constrained linear ordination or CLO.
Like many regression models, CQO is sensitive to outliers (in the environmental and species data), sparse data, high leverage points, multicollinearity etc. For these reasons, it is necessary to examine the data carefully for these features and take corrective action (e.g., omitting certain species, sites, environmental variables from the analysis, transforming certain environmental variables, etc.). Any optimum lying outside the convex hull of the site scores should not be trusted. Fitting a CAO is recommended first, then upon transformations etc., possibly a CQO can be fitted.
For binary data, it is necessary to have ‘enough’ data. In general,
the number of sites n ought to be much larger than the number of
species S, e.g., at least 100 sites for two species. Compared
to count (Poisson) data, numerical problems occur more frequently
with presence/absence (binary) data. For example, if Rank = 1
and if the response data for each species is a string of all absences,
then all presences, then all absences (when enumerated along the latent
variable) then infinite parameter estimates will occur. In general,
setting I.tolerances = TRUE
may help.
This function was formerly called cgo
. It has been renamed to
reinforce a new nomenclature described in Yee (2006).
The input requires care, preparation and thought—a lot more than other ordination methods. Here is a partial checklist.
The number of species should be kept reasonably low, e.g., 12 max. Feeding in 100+ species wholesale is a recipe for failure. Choose a few species carefully. Using 10 well-chosen species is better than 100+ species thrown in willy-nilly.
Each species should be screened individually first, e.g.,
for presence/absence is the species totally absent or totally present
at all sites?
For presence/absence data sort(colMeans(data))
can help
avoid such species.
The number of explanatory variables should be kept low, e.g., 7 max.
Each explanatory variable should be screened individually first, e.g., is it heavily skewed or are there outliers? They should be plotted and then transformed where needed. They should not be too highly correlated with each other.
Each explanatory variable should be scaled, e.g.,
to mean 0 and unit variance.
This is especially needed for I.tolerance = TRUE
.
Keep the rank low. Only if the data is very good should a rank-2 model be attempted. Usually a rank-1 model is all that is practically possible even after a lot of work. The rank-1 model should always be attempted first. Then might be clever and try use this for initial values for a rank-2 model.
If the number of sites is large then choose a random sample of them. For example, choose a maximum of 500 sites. This will reduce the memory and time expense of the computations.
Try I.tolerance = TRUE
or eq.tolerance = FALSE
if the inputted data set is large,
so as to reduce the computational expense.
That's because the default, I.tolerance = FALSE
and
eq.tolerance = TRUE
, is very memory hungry.
By default, a rank-1 equal-tolerances QRR-VGLM model is fitted
(see qrrvglm.control
for the default control
parameters).
If Rank > 1
then the latent variables are always transformed
so that they are uncorrelated.
By default, the argument trace
is TRUE
meaning a running
log is printed out while the computations are taking place. This is
because the algorithm is computationally expensive, therefore users
might think that their computers have frozen if trace = FALSE
!
The argument Bestof
in qrrvglm.control
controls
the number of models fitted (each uses different starting values) to
the data. This argument is important because convergence may be to a
local solution rather than the global solution. Using
more starting values increases the chances of finding the global
solution. Always plot an ordination diagram (use the generic function
lvplot
) and see if it looks sensible. Local solutions
arise because the optimization problem is highly nonlinear, and this is
particularly true for CAO.
Many of the arguments applicable to cqo
are common to
vglm
and rrvglm.control
.
The most important arguments are
Rank
,
noRRR
,
Bestof
,
I.tolerances
,
eq.tolerances
,
isd.latvar
, and
MUXfactor
.
When fitting a 2-parameter model such as the negative binomial
or gamma, it pays to have eq.tolerances = TRUE
and
I.tolerances = FALSE
. This is because numerical problems can
occur when fitting the model far away from the global solution when
I.tolerances = TRUE
. Setting the two arguments as described will
slow down the computation considerably, however it is numerically
more stable.
In Example 1 below, an unequal-tolerances rank-1 QRR-VGLM is fitted to the
hunting spiders dataset, and
Example 2 is the equal-tolerances version. The latter is less likely to
have convergence problems compared to the unequal-tolerances model.
In Example 3 below, an equal-tolerances rank-2 QRR-VGLM is fitted to the
hunting spiders dataset.
The numerical difficulties encountered in fitting the rank-2 model
suggests a rank-1 model is probably preferable.
In Example 4 below, constrained binary quadratic ordination (in old
nomenclature, constrained Gaussian logit ordination) is fitted to some
simulated data coming from a species packing model.
With multivariate binary responses, one must
use multiple.responses = TRUE
to
indicate that the response (matrix) is multivariate. Otherwise, it is
interpreted as a single binary response variable.
In Example 5 below, the deviance residuals are plotted for each species.
This is useful as a diagnostic plot.
This is done by (re)regressing each species separately against the latent
variable.
Sometime in the future, this function might handle input of the form
cqo(x, y)
, where x
and y
are matrices containing
the environmental and species data respectively.
Thomas W. Yee. Thanks to Alvin Sou for converting a lot of the original FORTRAN code into C.
Yee, T. W. (2004). A new technique for maximum-likelihood canonical Gaussian ordination. Ecological Monographs, 74, 685–701.
ter Braak, C. J. F. and Prentice, I. C. (1988). A theory of gradient analysis. Advances in Ecological Research, 18, 271–317.
Yee, T. W. (2006). Constrained additive ordination. Ecology, 87, 203–213.
## Not run: # Example 1; Fit an unequal tolerances model to the hunting spiders data hspider[,1:6] <- scale(hspider[,1:6]) # Standardized environmental variables set.seed(1234) # For reproducibility of the results p1ut <- cqo(cbind(Alopacce, Alopcune, Alopfabr, Arctlute, Arctperi, Auloalbi, Pardlugu, Pardmont, Pardnigr, Pardpull, Trocterr, Zoraspin) ~ WaterCon + BareSand + FallTwig + CoveMoss + CoveHerb + ReflLux, fam = poissonff, data = hspider, Crow1positive = FALSE, eq.tol = FALSE) sort(deviance(p1ut, history = TRUE)) # A history of all the iterations if (deviance(p1ut) > 1177) warning("suboptimal fit obtained") S <- ncol(depvar(p1ut)) # Number of species clr <- (1:(S+1))[-7] # Omits yellow lvplot(p1ut, y = TRUE, lcol = clr, pch = 1:S, pcol = clr, las = 1) # Ordination diagram legend("topright", leg = colnames(depvar(p1ut)), col = clr, pch = 1:S, merge = TRUE, bty = "n", lty = 1:S, lwd = 2) (cp <- Coef(p1ut)) (a <- latvar(cp)[cp@latvar.order]) # Ordered site scores along the gradient # Names of the ordered sites along the gradient: rownames(latvar(cp))[cp@latvar.order] (aa <- Opt(cp)[, cp@Optimum.order]) # Ordered optimums along the gradient aa <- aa[!is.na(aa)] # Delete the species that is not unimodal names(aa) # Names of the ordered optimums along the gradient trplot(p1ut, which.species = 1:3, log = "xy", type = "b", lty = 1, lwd = 2, col = c("blue","red","green"), label = TRUE) -> ii # Trajectory plot legend(0.00005, 0.3, paste(ii$species[, 1], ii$species[, 2], sep = " and "), lwd = 2, lty = 1, col = c("blue", "red", "green")) abline(a = 0, b = 1, lty = "dashed") S <- ncol(depvar(p1ut)) # Number of species clr <- (1:(S+1))[-7] # Omits yellow persp(p1ut, col = clr, label = TRUE, las = 1) # Perspective plot # Example 2; Fit an equal tolerances model. Less numerically fraught. set.seed(1234) p1et <- cqo(cbind(Alopacce, Alopcune, Alopfabr, Arctlute, Arctperi, Auloalbi, Pardlugu, Pardmont, Pardnigr, Pardpull, Trocterr, Zoraspin) ~ WaterCon + BareSand + FallTwig + CoveMoss + CoveHerb + ReflLux, poissonff, data = hspider, Crow1positive = FALSE) sort(deviance(p1et, history = TRUE)) # A history of all the iterations if (deviance(p1et) > 1586) warning("suboptimal fit obtained") S <- ncol(depvar(p1et)) # Number of species clr <- (1:(S+1))[-7] # Omits yellow persp(p1et, col = clr, label = TRUE, las = 1) # Example 3: A rank-2 equal tolerances CQO model with Poisson data # This example is numerically fraught... need I.toler = TRUE too. set.seed(555) p2 <- cqo(cbind(Alopacce, Alopcune, Alopfabr, Arctlute, Arctperi, Auloalbi, Pardlugu, Pardmont, Pardnigr, Pardpull, Trocterr, Zoraspin) ~ WaterCon + BareSand + FallTwig + CoveMoss + CoveHerb + ReflLux, poissonff, data = hspider, Crow1positive = FALSE, I.toler = TRUE, Rank = 2, Bestof = 3, isd.latvar = c(2.1, 0.9)) sort(deviance(p2, history = TRUE)) # A history of all the iterations if (deviance(p2) > 1127) warning("suboptimal fit obtained") lvplot(p2, ellips = FALSE, label = TRUE, xlim = c(-3,4), C = TRUE, Ccol = "brown", sites = TRUE, scol = "grey", pcol = "blue", pch = "+", chull = TRUE, ccol = "grey") # Example 4: species packing model with presence/absence data set.seed(2345) n <- 200; p <- 5; S <- 5 mydata <- rcqo(n, p, S, fam = "binomial", hi.abundance = 4, eq.tol = TRUE, es.opt = TRUE, eq.max = TRUE) myform <- attr(mydata, "formula") set.seed(1234) b1et <- cqo(myform, binomialff(multiple.responses = TRUE, link = "clogloglink"), data = mydata) sort(deviance(b1et, history = TRUE)) # A history of all the iterations lvplot(b1et, y = TRUE, lcol = 1:S, pch = 1:S, pcol = 1:S, las = 1) Coef(b1et) # Compare the fitted model with the 'truth' cbind(truth = attr(mydata, "concoefficients"), fitted = concoef(b1et)) # Example 5: Plot the deviance residuals for diagnostic purposes set.seed(1234) p1et <- cqo(cbind(Alopacce, Alopcune, Alopfabr, Arctlute, Arctperi, Auloalbi, Pardlugu, Pardmont, Pardnigr, Pardpull, Trocterr, Zoraspin) ~ WaterCon + BareSand + FallTwig + CoveMoss + CoveHerb + ReflLux, poissonff, data = hspider, eq.tol = TRUE, trace = FALSE) sort(deviance(p1et, history = TRUE)) # A history of all the iterations if (deviance(p1et) > 1586) warning("suboptimal fit obtained") S <- ncol(depvar(p1et)) par(mfrow = c(3, 4)) for (ii in 1:S) { tempdata <- data.frame(latvar1 = c(latvar(p1et)), sppCounts = depvar(p1et)[, ii]) tempdata <- transform(tempdata, myOffset = -0.5 * latvar1^2) # For species ii, refit the model to get the deviance residuals fit1 <- vglm(sppCounts ~ offset(myOffset) + latvar1, poissonff, data = tempdata, trace = FALSE) # For checking: this should be 0 # print("max(abs(c(Coef(p1et)@B1[1,ii],Coef(p1et)@A[ii,1])-coef(fit1)))") # print( max(abs(c(Coef(p1et)@B1[1,ii],Coef(p1et)@A[ii,1])-coef(fit1))) ) # Plot the deviance residuals devresid <- resid(fit1, type = "deviance") predvalues <- predict(fit1) + fit1@offset ooo <- with(tempdata, order(latvar1)) plot(predvalues + devresid ~ latvar1, data = tempdata, col = "red", xlab = "latvar1", ylab = "", main = colnames(depvar(p1et))[ii]) with(tempdata, lines(latvar1[ooo], predvalues[ooo], col = "blue")) } ## End(Not run)
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